Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 21:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Maipu
Model pick: Godoy Cruz (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 1.38
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Godoy Cruz | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|
| League position | #5 (37 pts) | #8 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 17% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Godoy Cruz shown at home, Deportivo Maipu shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Godoy Cruz — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 36% of home games go over 2.5.
Deportivo Maipu — last 5
WDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Godoy Cruz (home) | Deportivo Maipu (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 8-4-0 in 12 (1.7 / 0.7 goals per game) | 2-3-7 in 12 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 33% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.13
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Godoy Cruz or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Deportivo Maipu or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Godoy Cruz clean sheet | 25% |
| Deportivo Maipu clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Godoy Cruz is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Godoy Cruz are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Maipu — FAQ
Who will win Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our statistical model makes Godoy Cruz the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Godoy Cruz 41%, draw 26%, Deportivo Maipu 34%.
Will both teams score in Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Maipu?
Expected goals are 1.57 for Godoy Cruz and 1.38 for Deportivo Maipu — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Godoy Cruz or draw is 66%.