Goiás vs Juventude Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 00:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Goiás vs Juventude
Model pick: Goiás (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 0.69
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Goiás | Juventude |
|---|
| League position | #8 (32 pts) | #2 (38 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Goiás shown at home, Juventude shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Goiás — last 5
DWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Juventude — last 5
LWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Goiás (home) | Juventude (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-3 in 10 (1.0 / 1.1 goals per game) | 3-3-4 in 10 (0.8 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Kadu (5) | Safira Alisson (4) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Goiás or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Juventude or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Goiás clean sheet | 50% |
| Juventude clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Goiás is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Goiás are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Goiás vs Juventude — FAQ
Who will win Goiás vs Juventude?
Our statistical model makes Goiás the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Goiás 42%, draw 30%, Juventude 27%.
Will both teams score in Goiás vs Juventude?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Goiás vs Juventude?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Goiás and 0.69 for Juventude — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Goiás vs Juventude?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Goiás or draw is 79%.