Goiás vs Londrina Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Aug 10, 2026 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Goiás vs Londrina
Model pick: Goiás (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 0.7
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Goiás | Londrina |
|---|
| League position | #9 (29 pts) | #17 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Goiás shown at home, Londrina shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Goiás — last 5
WDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Londrina — last 5
WDDLL
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Goiás (home) | Londrina (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-3 in 9 (1.0 / 1.2 goals per game) | 2-2-6 in 10 (1.2 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 41% |
| Top scorer | Kadu (5) | Santos Bruno (10) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 0.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Goiás or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Londrina or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Goiás clean sheet | 50% |
| Londrina clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Goiás is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Goiás are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Goiás vs Londrina — FAQ
Who will win Goiás vs Londrina?
Our statistical model makes Goiás the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Goiás 56%, draw 26%, Londrina 18%.
Will both teams score in Goiás vs Londrina?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Goiás vs Londrina?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Goiás and 0.7 for Londrina — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Goiás vs Londrina?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Goiás or draw is 86%.