Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak
Model pick: Gol Gohar (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 0.66
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gol Gohar | Aluminium Arak |
|---|
| League position | #3 (7 pts) | #4 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 0.4 |
*Gol Gohar shown at home, Aluminium Arak shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gol Gohar — last 5
LLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Aluminium Arak — last 5
DDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 24% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gol Gohar (home) | Aluminium Arak (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.0 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 24% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Gol Gohar or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Aluminium Arak or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Gol Gohar clean sheet | 52% |
| Aluminium Arak clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gol Gohar is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Gol Gohar are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak — FAQ
Who will win Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak?
Our statistical model makes Gol Gohar the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Gol Gohar 43%, draw 33%, Aluminium Arak 24%.
Will both teams score in Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Gol Gohar and 0.66 for Aluminium Arak — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Gol Gohar or draw is 77%.