Gol Gohar vs Nassaji Mazandaran Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Gol Gohar vs Nassaji Mazandaran
Model pick: Gol Gohar (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 0.6
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gol Gohar | Nassaji Mazandaran |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #12 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Gol Gohar shown at home, Nassaji Mazandaran shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gol Gohar — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Nassaji Mazandaran — last 5
DLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 32% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gol Gohar (home) | Nassaji Mazandaran (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 32% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Gol Gohar or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Nassaji Mazandaran or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Gol Gohar clean sheet | 55% |
| Nassaji Mazandaran clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gol Gohar is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Gol Gohar are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gol Gohar vs Nassaji Mazandaran — FAQ
Who will win Gol Gohar vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Our statistical model makes Gol Gohar the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Gol Gohar 50%, draw 31%, Nassaji Mazandaran 20%.
Will both teams score in Gol Gohar vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gol Gohar vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Gol Gohar and 0.6 for Nassaji Mazandaran — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gol Gohar vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (20%). Double chance for Gol Gohar or draw is 82%.