Gonsenheim vs Diefflen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Gonsenheim vs Diefflen
Model pick: Gonsenheim (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.09 – 1.78
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gonsenheim | Diefflen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 3.2 |
*Gonsenheim shown at home, Diefflen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gonsenheim — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Diefflen — last 5
LWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gonsenheim (home) | Diefflen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.09 vs 1.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Gonsenheim or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Diefflen or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Gonsenheim clean sheet | 17% |
| Diefflen clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gonsenheim is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Gonsenheim are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gonsenheim vs Diefflen — FAQ
Who will win Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
Our statistical model makes Gonsenheim the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Gonsenheim 60%, draw 18%, Diefflen 22%.
Will both teams score in Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
Expected goals are 3.09 for Gonsenheim and 1.78 for Diefflen — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Gonsenheim or draw is 80%.