Gonsenheim vs Diefflen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Gonsenheim vs Diefflen
Model pick: Gonsenheim (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.28 – 1.76
Total goals: 5.0
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gonsenheim | Diefflen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 3.2 |
*Gonsenheim shown at home, Diefflen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gonsenheim — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Diefflen — last 5
LWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gonsenheim (home) | Diefflen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.28 vs 1.76):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Gonsenheim or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Diefflen or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Gonsenheim clean sheet | 17% |
| Diefflen clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gonsenheim is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Gonsenheim are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.0, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gonsenheim vs Diefflen — FAQ
Who will win Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
Our statistical model makes Gonsenheim the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Gonsenheim 62%, draw 17%, Diefflen 20%.
Will both teams score in Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
Expected goals are 3.28 for Gonsenheim and 1.76 for Diefflen — about 5.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gonsenheim vs Diefflen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Gonsenheim or draw is 82%.