Gonsenheim vs Worms Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Gonsenheim vs Worms
Model pick: Worms (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 1.16
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gonsenheim | Worms |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.33 | 2.6 / 3.0 |
*Gonsenheim shown at home, Worms shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gonsenheim — last 5
LWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Worms — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gonsenheim (home) | Worms (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.46
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (32%) |
| Double chance — Gonsenheim or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Worms or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Gonsenheim clean sheet | 31% |
| Worms clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Worms is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Worms edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gonsenheim vs Worms — FAQ
Who will win Gonsenheim vs Worms?
Our statistical model makes Worms the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Gonsenheim 6%, draw 34%, Worms 61%.
Will both teams score in Gonsenheim vs Worms?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gonsenheim vs Worms?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Gonsenheim and 1.16 for Worms — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gonsenheim vs Worms?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (32%). Double chance for Gonsenheim or draw is 36%.