Gosport vs Uxbridge Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Gosport vs Uxbridge
Model pick: Uxbridge (85%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.01 – 2.19
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 9%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gosport | Uxbridge |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
*Gosport shown at home, Uxbridge shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gosport — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Uxbridge — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gosport (home) | Uxbridge (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.01 vs 2.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (27%) |
| Double chance — Gosport or draw (1X) | 11% |
| Double chance — Uxbridge or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Gosport clean sheet | 11% |
| Uxbridge clean sheet | 99% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Uxbridge is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. Despite playing away, Uxbridge edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Gosport vs Uxbridge — FAQ
Who will win Gosport vs Uxbridge?
Our statistical model makes Uxbridge the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: Gosport 0%, draw 15%, Uxbridge 85%.
Will both teams score in Gosport vs Uxbridge?
The model gives a 9% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gosport vs Uxbridge?
Expected goals are 0.01 for Gosport and 2.19 for Uxbridge — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gosport vs Uxbridge?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (27%). Double chance for Gosport or draw is 11%.