Grebbestad vs Lidkoping Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Grebbestad vs Lidkoping
Model pick: Grebbestad (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.34 – 1.89
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Grebbestad | Lidkoping |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Grebbestad shown at home, Lidkoping shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Grebbestad — last 5
WDLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Lidkoping — last 5
DLDDD
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Grebbestad (home) | Lidkoping (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.33
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.34 vs 1.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Grebbestad or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Lidkoping or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Grebbestad clean sheet | 15% |
| Lidkoping clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Grebbestad is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Grebbestad are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Grebbestad vs Lidkoping — FAQ
Who will win Grebbestad vs Lidkoping?
Our statistical model makes Grebbestad the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Grebbestad 46%, draw 22%, Lidkoping 32%.
Will both teams score in Grebbestad vs Lidkoping?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Grebbestad vs Lidkoping?
Expected goals are 2.34 for Grebbestad and 1.89 for Lidkoping — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Grebbestad vs Lidkoping?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Grebbestad or draw is 68%.