Gresford vs Mold Alexandra Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Gresford vs Mold Alexandra
Model pick: Mold Alexandra (87%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.03 – 2.47
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 17%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gresford | Mold Alexandra |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #3 (13 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 4.0 | 3.0 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Gresford shown at home, Mold Alexandra shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gresford — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Mold Alexandra — last 5
DLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gresford (home) | Mold Alexandra (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (3.0 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.56
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.03 vs 2.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (25%) |
| Double chance — Gresford or draw (1X) | 9% |
| Double chance — Mold Alexandra or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Gresford clean sheet | 8% |
| Mold Alexandra clean sheet | 97% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mold Alexandra is the model's most likely outcome at
87%. Despite playing away, Mold Alexandra edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gresford vs Mold Alexandra — FAQ
Who will win Gresford vs Mold Alexandra?
Our statistical model makes Mold Alexandra the most likely result at 87%. Full probabilities: Gresford 1%, draw 12%, Mold Alexandra 87%.
Will both teams score in Gresford vs Mold Alexandra?
The model gives a 17% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Gresford vs Mold Alexandra?
Expected goals are 0.03 for Gresford and 2.47 for Mold Alexandra — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gresford vs Mold Alexandra?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (25%). Double chance for Gresford or draw is 9%.