Grodig vs Union Gurten Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Grodig vs Union Gurten
Model pick: Grodig (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.4 – 2.21
Total goals: 4.6
Over 2.5: 72%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Grodig | Union Gurten |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #2 (64 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 67% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.0 | 2.6 / 1.8 |
*Grodig shown at home, Union Gurten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Grodig — last 5
LWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Union Gurten — last 5
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On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Grodig (home) | Union Gurten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 10-1-4 in 15 (1.8 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.4 vs 2.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Grodig or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Union Gurten or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Grodig clean sheet | 11% |
| Union Gurten clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Grodig is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Grodig are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.6, this shapes as an open game (72% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Grodig vs Union Gurten — FAQ
Who will win Grodig vs Union Gurten?
Our statistical model makes Grodig the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Grodig 42%, draw 21%, Union Gurten 37%.
Will both teams score in Grodig vs Union Gurten?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Grodig vs Union Gurten?
Expected goals are 2.4 for Grodig and 2.21 for Union Gurten — about 4.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Grodig vs Union Gurten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (7%). Double chance for Grodig or draw is 63%.