Grorud vs Rana FK Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Norway) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (NORWAY)
Grorud vs Rana FK
Model pick: Grorud (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 0.75
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Grorud | Rana FK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 |
*Grorud shown at home, Rana FK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Grorud — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 13% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
Rana FK — last 5
LWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Grorud (home) | Rana FK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 13% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 100% |
Division 2 (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.56
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Grorud or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Rana FK or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Grorud clean sheet | 47% |
| Rana FK clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Grorud is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Grorud are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Grorud vs Rana FK — FAQ
Who will win Grorud vs Rana FK?
Our statistical model makes Grorud the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Grorud 57%, draw 25%, Rana FK 18%.
Will both teams score in Grorud vs Rana FK?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Grorud vs Rana FK?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Grorud and 0.75 for Rana FK — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Grorud vs Rana FK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Grorud or draw is 84%.