Grossbardorf vs Ingolstadt II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Grossbardorf vs Ingolstadt II
Model pick: Ingolstadt II (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.18 – 0.95
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 24%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Grossbardorf | Ingolstadt II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.25 / 0.75 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
*Grossbardorf shown at home, Ingolstadt II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Grossbardorf — last 5
LWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ingolstadt II — last 5
DLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Grossbardorf (home) | Ingolstadt II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.18 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (32%) |
| Double chance — Grossbardorf or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Ingolstadt II or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 62% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Grossbardorf clean sheet | 39% |
| Ingolstadt II clean sheet | 84% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ingolstadt II is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Ingolstadt II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (76% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Grossbardorf vs Ingolstadt II — FAQ
Who will win Grossbardorf vs Ingolstadt II?
Our statistical model makes Ingolstadt II the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Grossbardorf 9%, draw 38%, Ingolstadt II 53%.
Will both teams score in Grossbardorf vs Ingolstadt II?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Grossbardorf vs Ingolstadt II?
Expected goals are 0.18 for Grossbardorf and 0.95 for Ingolstadt II — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Grossbardorf vs Ingolstadt II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (32%). Double chance for Grossbardorf or draw is 45%.