Grossbardorf vs Neudrossenfeld Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Grossbardorf vs Neudrossenfeld
Model pick: Neudrossenfeld (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.24 – 1.23
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Grossbardorf | Neudrossenfeld |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Grossbardorf shown at home, Neudrossenfeld shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Grossbardorf — last 5
LDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Neudrossenfeld — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Grossbardorf (home) | Neudrossenfeld (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 75% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.24 vs 1.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (28%) |
| Double chance — Grossbardorf or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Neudrossenfeld or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Grossbardorf clean sheet | 29% |
| Neudrossenfeld clean sheet | 79% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Neudrossenfeld is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Neudrossenfeld edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Grossbardorf vs Neudrossenfeld — FAQ
Who will win Grossbardorf vs Neudrossenfeld?
Our statistical model makes Neudrossenfeld the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Grossbardorf 9%, draw 32%, Neudrossenfeld 59%.
Will both teams score in Grossbardorf vs Neudrossenfeld?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Grossbardorf vs Neudrossenfeld?
Expected goals are 0.24 for Grossbardorf and 1.23 for Neudrossenfeld — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Grossbardorf vs Neudrossenfeld?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (28%). Double chance for Grossbardorf or draw is 37%.