Grosuplje vs Koper Prediction & Preview
1-SNL (Slovenia) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-SNL (SLOVENIA)
Grosuplje vs Koper
Model pick: Koper (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.99 – 1.48
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Grosuplje | Koper |
|---|
| League position | #2 (3 pts) | #1 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
*Grosuplje shown at home, Koper shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Grosuplje — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Koper — last 5
LWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Grosuplje (home) | Koper (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
1-SNL (Slovenia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 52%
Use these 1-SNL (Slovenia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.99 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Grosuplje or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Koper or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Grosuplje clean sheet | 23% |
| Koper clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Koper is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Koper edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Grosuplje vs Koper — FAQ
Who will win Grosuplje vs Koper?
Our statistical model makes Koper the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Grosuplje 21%, draw 25%, Koper 53%.
Will both teams score in Grosuplje vs Koper?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Grosuplje vs Koper?
Expected goals are 0.99 for Grosuplje and 1.48 for Koper — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Grosuplje vs Koper?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Grosuplje or draw is 51%.