Guabirá vs Blooming Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Bolivia) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 21:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (BOLIVIA)
Guabirá vs Blooming
Model pick: Guabirá (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.93 – 1.13
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Guabirá | Blooming |
|---|
| League position | #5 (24 pts) | #9 (21 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.6 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 71% | 14% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Guabirá shown at home, Blooming shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Guabirá — last 5
LDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Blooming — last 5
DLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Guabirá (home) | Blooming (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-1 in 7 (2.6 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-2-4 in 7 (1.0 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 60% |
| Top scorer | Rafinha (1) | – |
Primera Division (Bolivia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 55%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 23%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Primera Division (Bolivia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.93 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Guabirá or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Blooming or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Guabirá clean sheet | 32% |
| Blooming clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Guabirá is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Guabirá are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Guabirá vs Blooming — FAQ
Who will win Guabirá vs Blooming?
Our statistical model makes Guabirá the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Guabirá 52%, draw 24%, Blooming 24%.
Will both teams score in Guabirá vs Blooming?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Guabirá vs Blooming?
Expected goals are 1.93 for Guabirá and 1.13 for Blooming — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Guabirá vs Blooming?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Guabirá or draw is 78%.