Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch
Model pick: Guilsfield (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.4 – 0.52
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Guilsfield | Penrhyncoch |
|---|
| League position | #7 (6 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 3.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 1.5 | 0.33 / 3.33 |
*Guilsfield shown at home, Penrhyncoch shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Guilsfield — last 5
DWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Penrhyncoch — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Guilsfield (home) | Penrhyncoch (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 3.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.4 vs 0.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Guilsfield or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Penrhyncoch or draw (X2) | 5% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Guilsfield clean sheet | 59% |
| Penrhyncoch clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Guilsfield is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Guilsfield are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch — FAQ
Who will win Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?
Our statistical model makes Guilsfield the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Guilsfield 92%, draw 6%, Penrhyncoch 2%.
Will both teams score in Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?
Expected goals are 4.4 for Guilsfield and 0.52 for Penrhyncoch — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (12%). Double chance for Guilsfield or draw is 99%.