Guiseley vs Lancaster Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Guiseley vs Lancaster
Model pick: Guiseley (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.31 – 1.07
Total goals: 7.4
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Guiseley | Lancaster |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
*Guiseley shown at home, Lancaster shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Guiseley — last 5
LWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Lancaster — last 5
LWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Guiseley (home) | Lancaster (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.31 vs 1.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Guiseley or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Lancaster or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Guiseley clean sheet | 34% |
| Lancaster clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Guiseley is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Guiseley are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.4, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Guiseley vs Lancaster — FAQ
Who will win Guiseley vs Lancaster?
Our statistical model makes Guiseley the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Guiseley 94%, draw 4%, Lancaster 2%.
Will both teams score in Guiseley vs Lancaster?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Guiseley vs Lancaster?
Expected goals are 6.31 for Guiseley and 1.07 for Lancaster — about 7.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Guiseley vs Lancaster?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-1 (7%). Double chance for Guiseley or draw is 99%.