Győri ETO vs Ferencvaros Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Győri ETO vs Ferencvaros
Model pick: Győri ETO (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Győri ETO | Ferencvaros |
|---|
| League position | #1 (4 pts) | #12 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 0.0 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Győri ETO shown at home, Ferencvaros shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Győri ETO — last 5
DWDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 44% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Ferencvaros — last 5
WWLDD
On the road: clean sheet 35% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Győri ETO (home) | Ferencvaros (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 2-1-1 in 4 (1.2 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 44% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 54% |
| Top scorer | – | Lenny Joseph (2) |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Győri ETO or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Győri ETO clean sheet | 31% |
| Ferencvaros clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Győri ETO is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Győri ETO are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Győri ETO vs Ferencvaros — FAQ
Who will win Győri ETO vs Ferencvaros?
Our statistical model makes Győri ETO the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Győri ETO 38%, draw 28%, Ferencvaros 34%.
Will both teams score in Győri ETO vs Ferencvaros?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Győri ETO vs Ferencvaros?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Győri ETO and 1.18 for Ferencvaros — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Győri ETO vs Ferencvaros?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Győri ETO or draw is 66%.