Győri ETO vs Honvéd Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Győri ETO vs Honvéd
Model pick: Győri ETO (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.96 – 0.73
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Győri ETO | Honvéd |
|---|
| League position | #3 (9 pts) | #9 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.5 / 0.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Győri ETO shown at home, Honvéd shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Győri ETO — last 5
WLDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 45% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Honvéd — last 5
DDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Győri ETO (home) | Honvéd (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (3.5 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 45% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 50% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.96 vs 0.73):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Győri ETO or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Honvéd or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Győri ETO clean sheet | 48% |
| Honvéd clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Győri ETO is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Győri ETO are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Győri ETO vs Honvéd — FAQ
Who will win Győri ETO vs Honvéd?
Our statistical model makes Győri ETO the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Győri ETO 62%, draw 23%, Honvéd 16%.
Will both teams score in Győri ETO vs Honvéd?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Győri ETO vs Honvéd?
Expected goals are 1.96 for Győri ETO and 0.73 for Honvéd — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Győri ETO vs Honvéd?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Győri ETO or draw is 87%.