Győri ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Győri ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Model pick: Győri ETO (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.93 – 0.81
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Győri ETO | Zalaegerszegi TE |
|---|
| League position | #5 (5 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*Győri ETO shown at home, Zalaegerszegi TE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Győri ETO — last 5
DWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Zalaegerszegi TE — last 5
WWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Győri ETO (home) | Zalaegerszegi TE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 61% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.93 vs 0.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Győri ETO or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi TE or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Győri ETO clean sheet | 44% |
| Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Győri ETO is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Győri ETO are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Győri ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE — FAQ
Who will win Győri ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Our statistical model makes Győri ETO the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Győri ETO 59%, draw 23%, Zalaegerszegi TE 17%.
Will both teams score in Győri ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Győri ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Expected goals are 1.93 for Győri ETO and 0.81 for Zalaegerszegi TE — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Győri ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Győri ETO or draw is 85%.