Gyeongnam vs Daegu Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Gyeongnam vs Daegu
Model pick: Daegu (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 2.85
Total goals: 4.3
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gyeongnam | Daegu |
|---|
| League position | #9 (24 pts) | #6 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.5 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
*Gyeongnam shown at home, Daegu shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gyeongnam — last 5
WWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Daegu — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gyeongnam (home) | Daegu (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-3 in 10 (1.9 / 1.5 goals per game) | 3-4-2 in 9 (2.0 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 55% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 2.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Gyeongnam or draw (1X) | 33% |
| Double chance — Daegu or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Gyeongnam clean sheet | 6% |
| Daegu clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Daegu is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Daegu edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.3, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gyeongnam vs Daegu — FAQ
Who will win Gyeongnam vs Daegu?
Our statistical model makes Daegu the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Gyeongnam 20%, draw 19%, Daegu 62%.
Will both teams score in Gyeongnam vs Daegu?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gyeongnam vs Daegu?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Gyeongnam and 2.85 for Daegu — about 4.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gyeongnam vs Daegu?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Gyeongnam or draw is 33%.