Häcken vs AIK Prediction & Preview
Allsvenskan (Sweden) · Jul 27, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ALLSVENSKAN (SWEDEN)
Häcken vs AIK
Model pick: Häcken (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.5
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Häcken | AIK |
|---|
| League position | #32 (3 pts) | #4 (21 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 43% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Häcken shown at home, AIK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Häcken — last 5
DLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
AIK — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Häcken (home) | AIK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-1 in 3 (1.3 / 1.7 goals per game) | 3-3-1 in 7 (1.6 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 50% |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Allsvenskan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.62 vs 1.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Häcken or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — AIK or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Häcken clean sheet | 22% |
| AIK clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Häcken is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Häcken are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Häcken vs AIK — FAQ
Who will win Häcken vs AIK?
Our statistical model makes Häcken the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Häcken 40%, draw 25%, AIK 35%.
Will both teams score in Häcken vs AIK?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Häcken vs AIK?
Expected goals are 1.62 for Häcken and 1.5 for AIK — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Häcken vs AIK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Häcken or draw is 64%.