Hødd vs Moss Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Hødd vs Moss
Model pick: Hødd (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.5
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hødd | Moss |
|---|
| League position | #6 (21 pts) | #11 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 57% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Hødd shown at home, Moss shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hødd — last 5
LDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Moss — last 5
DWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 9% of the time; 64% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hødd (home) | Moss (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-2 in 7 (1.9 / 1.6 goals per game) | 3-0-5 in 8 (1.8 / 2.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 64% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Hødd or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Moss or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Hødd clean sheet | 22% |
| Moss clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hødd is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Hødd are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hødd vs Moss — FAQ
Who will win Hødd vs Moss?
Our statistical model makes Hødd the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Hødd 39%, draw 25%, Moss 36%.
Will both teams score in Hødd vs Moss?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hødd vs Moss?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Hødd and 1.5 for Moss — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hødd vs Moss?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Hødd or draw is 58%.