Hadamar vs Pohlheim Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hadamar vs Pohlheim
Model pick: Hadamar (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.1 – 1.84
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hadamar | Pohlheim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 2.0 | 1.75 / 1.75 |
*Hadamar shown at home, Pohlheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hadamar — last 5
WDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Pohlheim — last 5
LWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hadamar (home) | Pohlheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.1 vs 1.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Hadamar or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Pohlheim or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Hadamar clean sheet | 16% |
| Pohlheim clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hadamar is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Hadamar are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hadamar vs Pohlheim — FAQ
Who will win Hadamar vs Pohlheim?
Our statistical model makes Hadamar the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Hadamar 59%, draw 18%, Pohlheim 23%.
Will both teams score in Hadamar vs Pohlheim?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hadamar vs Pohlheim?
Expected goals are 3.1 for Hadamar and 1.84 for Pohlheim — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hadamar vs Pohlheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Hadamar or draw is 79%.