Hajdunanas vs Mateszalkai MTK Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Hajdunanas vs Mateszalkai MTK
Model pick: Mateszalkai MTK (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.19 – 1.27
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hajdunanas | Mateszalkai MTK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.5 | 1.5 / 1.0 |
*Hajdunanas shown at home, Mateszalkai MTK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hajdunanas — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Mateszalkai MTK — last 5
DW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hajdunanas (home) | Mateszalkai MTK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.19 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (29%) |
| Double chance — Hajdunanas or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Mateszalkai MTK or draw (X2) | 95% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Hajdunanas clean sheet | 28% |
| Mateszalkai MTK clean sheet | 83% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mateszalkai MTK is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Mateszalkai MTK edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hajdunanas vs Mateszalkai MTK — FAQ
Who will win Hajdunanas vs Mateszalkai MTK?
Our statistical model makes Mateszalkai MTK the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Hajdunanas 7%, draw 31%, Mateszalkai MTK 62%.
Will both teams score in Hajdunanas vs Mateszalkai MTK?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hajdunanas vs Mateszalkai MTK?
Expected goals are 0.19 for Hajdunanas and 1.27 for Mateszalkai MTK — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hajdunanas vs Mateszalkai MTK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (29%). Double chance for Hajdunanas or draw is 35%.