Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC
Model pick: Chemnitzer FC (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.47 – 2.23
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hallescher FC | Chemnitzer FC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 2.8 / 1.0 |
*Hallescher FC shown at home, Chemnitzer FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hallescher FC — last 5
WLDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Chemnitzer FC — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 10% of the time; 70% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hallescher FC (home) | Chemnitzer FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.47 vs 2.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (17%) |
| Double chance — Hallescher FC or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — Chemnitzer FC or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Hallescher FC clean sheet | 11% |
| Chemnitzer FC clean sheet | 63% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chemnitzer FC is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Despite playing away, Chemnitzer FC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC — FAQ
Who will win Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our statistical model makes Chemnitzer FC the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Hallescher FC 9%, draw 19%, Chemnitzer FC 73%.
Will both teams score in Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC?
Expected goals are 0.47 for Hallescher FC and 2.23 for Chemnitzer FC — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (17%). Double chance for Hallescher FC or draw is 22%.