Hamburger SV II vs Drochtersen/Assel Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Hamburger SV II vs Drochtersen/Assel
Model pick: Drochtersen/Assel (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.6 – 1.52
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hamburger SV II | Drochtersen/Assel |
|---|
| League position | #15 (0 pts) | #9 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.8 | 3.0 / 1.5 |
*Hamburger SV II shown at home, Drochtersen/Assel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hamburger SV II — last 5
DLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Drochtersen/Assel — last 5
WWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hamburger SV II (home) | Drochtersen/Assel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.6 vs 1.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (18%) |
| Double chance — Hamburger SV II or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Drochtersen/Assel or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Hamburger SV II clean sheet | 22% |
| Drochtersen/Assel clean sheet | 55% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Drochtersen/Assel is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Drochtersen/Assel edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hamburger SV II vs Drochtersen/Assel — FAQ
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Drochtersen/Assel?
Our statistical model makes Drochtersen/Assel the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Hamburger SV II 17%, draw 27%, Drochtersen/Assel 56%.
Will both teams score in Hamburger SV II vs Drochtersen/Assel?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hamburger SV II vs Drochtersen/Assel?
Expected goals are 0.6 for Hamburger SV II and 1.52 for Drochtersen/Assel — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hamburger SV II vs Drochtersen/Assel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (18%). Double chance for Hamburger SV II or draw is 40%.