Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbutteler Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbutteler
Model pick: Eimsbutteler (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.64 – 1.03
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hamburger SV II | Eimsbutteler |
|---|
| League position | #16 (1 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 3.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 |
*Hamburger SV II shown at home, Eimsbutteler shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hamburger SV II — last 5
LLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Eimsbutteler — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hamburger SV II (home) | Eimsbutteler (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 3.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.64 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (19%) |
| Double chance — Hamburger SV II or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Eimsbutteler or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Hamburger SV II clean sheet | 36% |
| Eimsbutteler clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Eimsbutteler is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Eimsbutteler edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbutteler — FAQ
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbutteler?
Our statistical model makes Eimsbutteler the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Hamburger SV II 24%, draw 34%, Eimsbutteler 43%.
Will both teams score in Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbutteler?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbutteler?
Expected goals are 0.64 for Hamburger SV II and 1.03 for Eimsbutteler — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hamburger SV II vs Eimsbutteler?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (19%). Double chance for Hamburger SV II or draw is 56%.