Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde
Model pick: Todesfelde (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.23 – 2.42
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hamburger SV II | Todesfelde |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.8 | 2.8 / 1.4 |
*Hamburger SV II shown at home, Todesfelde shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hamburger SV II — last 5
DLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Todesfelde — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hamburger SV II (home) | Todesfelde (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.23 vs 2.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Hamburger SV II or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Todesfelde or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Hamburger SV II clean sheet | 9% |
| Todesfelde clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Todesfelde is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Todesfelde edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde — FAQ
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde?
Our statistical model makes Todesfelde the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Hamburger SV II 20%, draw 21%, Todesfelde 59%.
Will both teams score in Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde?
Expected goals are 1.23 for Hamburger SV II and 2.42 for Todesfelde — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Hamburger SV II or draw is 36%.