Hammam-Lif vs Bizertin Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
Hammam-Lif vs Bizertin
Model pick: Bizertin (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.87 – 0.92
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hammam-Lif | Bizertin |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.0 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
*Hammam-Lif shown at home, Bizertin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hammam-Lif — last 5
DLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Bizertin — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 24% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hammam-Lif (home) | Bizertin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 24% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.87 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Hammam-Lif or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Bizertin or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Hammam-Lif clean sheet | 40% |
| Bizertin clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bizertin is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Despite playing away, Bizertin edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hammam-Lif vs Bizertin — FAQ
Who will win Hammam-Lif vs Bizertin?
Our statistical model makes Bizertin the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Hammam-Lif 32%, draw 33%, Bizertin 35%.
Will both teams score in Hammam-Lif vs Bizertin?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hammam-Lif vs Bizertin?
Expected goals are 0.87 for Hammam-Lif and 0.92 for Bizertin — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hammam-Lif vs Bizertin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (17%). Double chance for Hammam-Lif or draw is 65%.