Hankofen-Hailing vs Kottern-St. Mang Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hankofen-Hailing vs Kottern-St. Mang
Model pick: Hankofen-Hailing (91%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.87 – 0.8
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hankofen-Hailing | Kottern-St. Mang |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 1.67 | 1.0 / 1.5 |
*Hankofen-Hailing shown at home, Kottern-St. Mang shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hankofen-Hailing — last 5
LWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Kottern-St. Mang — last 5
DLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hankofen-Hailing (home) | Kottern-St. Mang (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.87 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Hankofen-Hailing or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Kottern-St. Mang or draw (X2) | 6% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Hankofen-Hailing clean sheet | 45% |
| Kottern-St. Mang clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hankofen-Hailing is the model's most likely outcome at
91%. Hankofen-Hailing are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hankofen-Hailing vs Kottern-St. Mang — FAQ
Who will win Hankofen-Hailing vs Kottern-St. Mang?
Our statistical model makes Hankofen-Hailing the most likely result at 91%. Full probabilities: Hankofen-Hailing 91%, draw 6%, Kottern-St. Mang 3%.
Will both teams score in Hankofen-Hailing vs Kottern-St. Mang?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hankofen-Hailing vs Kottern-St. Mang?
Expected goals are 4.87 for Hankofen-Hailing and 0.8 for Kottern-St. Mang — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hankofen-Hailing vs Kottern-St. Mang?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (9%). Double chance for Hankofen-Hailing or draw is 98%.