Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga 2 (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA 2 (GERMANY)
Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg
Model pick: Draw (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.74 – 0.6
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 28%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hannover 96 | Wolfsburg |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #16 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.2 / 1.2 | 2.8 / 1.0 |
*Hannover 96 shown at home, Wolfsburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hannover 96 — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Wolfsburg — last 5
WWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hannover 96 (home) | Wolfsburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Benjamin Kallman (14) | – |
Bundesliga 2 (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Bundesliga 2 (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.74 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Hannover 96 or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Wolfsburg or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 61% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Hannover 96 clean sheet | 55% |
| Wolfsburg clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (72% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg — FAQ
Who will win Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Hannover 96 35%, draw 38%, Wolfsburg 27%.
Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg?
Expected goals are 0.74 for Hannover 96 and 0.6 for Wolfsburg — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (26%). Double chance for Hannover 96 or draw is 74%.