Hansa Rostock vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Hansa Rostock vs Waldhof Mannheim
Model pick: Hansa Rostock (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.98 – 1.06
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hansa Rostock | Waldhof Mannheim |
|---|
| League position | #7 (3 pts) | #8 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
*Hansa Rostock shown at home, Waldhof Mannheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hansa Rostock — last 5
WLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Waldhof Mannheim — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hansa Rostock (home) | Waldhof Mannheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 51% |
| Top scorer | – | Felix Lohkemper (12) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.98 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Hansa Rostock or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Waldhof Mannheim or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Hansa Rostock clean sheet | 35% |
| Waldhof Mannheim clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hansa Rostock is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Hansa Rostock are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hansa Rostock vs Waldhof Mannheim — FAQ
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Our statistical model makes Hansa Rostock the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Hansa Rostock 56%, draw 22%, Waldhof Mannheim 21%.
Will both teams score in Hansa Rostock vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hansa Rostock vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Expected goals are 1.98 for Hansa Rostock and 1.06 for Waldhof Mannheim — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hansa Rostock vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Hansa Rostock or draw is 80%.