Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden
Model pick: Hansa Rostock (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.89 – 1.12
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hansa Rostock | Wehen Wiesbaden |
|---|
| League position | #2 (7 pts) | #19 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 3.0 | 0.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 2.4 | 0.2 / 2.6 |
*Hansa Rostock shown at home, Wehen Wiesbaden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hansa Rostock — last 5
WWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Wehen Wiesbaden — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hansa Rostock (home) | Wehen Wiesbaden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (3.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 58% |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.89 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Hansa Rostock or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Wehen Wiesbaden or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Hansa Rostock clean sheet | 33% |
| Wehen Wiesbaden clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hansa Rostock is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Hansa Rostock are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden — FAQ
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
Our statistical model makes Hansa Rostock the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Hansa Rostock 54%, draw 24%, Wehen Wiesbaden 23%.
Will both teams score in Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
Expected goals are 1.89 for Hansa Rostock and 1.12 for Wehen Wiesbaden — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Hansa Rostock or draw is 78%.