Hanworth vs Chertsey Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Hanworth vs Chertsey
Model pick: Hanworth (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.52 – 0.64
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hanworth | Chertsey |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 2.8 / 1.2 |
*Hanworth shown at home, Chertsey shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hanworth — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Chertsey — last 5
WWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hanworth (home) | Chertsey (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.52 vs 0.64):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Hanworth or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Chertsey or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Hanworth clean sheet | 53% |
| Chertsey clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hanworth is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Hanworth are backed at home, where they average 2.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Hanworth vs Chertsey — FAQ
Who will win Hanworth vs Chertsey?
Our statistical model makes Hanworth the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Hanworth 55%, draw 27%, Chertsey 18%.
Will both teams score in Hanworth vs Chertsey?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hanworth vs Chertsey?
Expected goals are 1.52 for Hanworth and 0.64 for Chertsey — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hanworth vs Chertsey?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Hanworth or draw is 84%.