Hanworth vs Evesham Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Hanworth vs Evesham
Model pick: Hanworth (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.01 – 0.14
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hanworth | Evesham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Hanworth shown at home, Evesham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hanworth — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Evesham — last 5
LDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hanworth (home) | Evesham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.01 vs 0.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Hanworth or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Evesham or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Hanworth clean sheet | 87% |
| Evesham clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hanworth is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Hanworth are backed at home, where they average 2.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hanworth vs Evesham — FAQ
Who will win Hanworth vs Evesham?
Our statistical model makes Hanworth the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Hanworth 95%, draw 4%, Evesham 1%.
Will both teams score in Hanworth vs Evesham?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hanworth vs Evesham?
Expected goals are 4.01 for Hanworth and 0.14 for Evesham — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hanworth vs Evesham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (17%). Double chance for Hanworth or draw is 100%.