Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction & Preview
Ligat Al (Israel) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGAT AL (ISRAEL)
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Model pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.24
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hapoel Haifa | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|
| League position | #9 (0 pts) | #6 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Hapoel Haifa shown at home, Hapoel Tel Aviv shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hapoel Haifa — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Hapoel Tel Aviv — last 5
DWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hapoel Haifa (home) | Hapoel Tel Aviv (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 41% |
Ligat Al (Israel) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligat Al (Israel) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 1.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Hapoel Haifa or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Hapoel Haifa clean sheet | 29% |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hapoel Tel Aviv is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, Hapoel Tel Aviv edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — FAQ
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our statistical model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Hapoel Haifa 34%, draw 30%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 36%.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Expected goals are 1.11 for Hapoel Haifa and 1.24 for Hapoel Tel Aviv — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Hapoel Haifa or draw is 61%.