Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hap. Ramat Gan Prediction & Preview
Ligat Al (Israel) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGAT AL (ISRAEL)
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hap. Ramat Gan
Model pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hap. Ramat Gan |
|---|
| League position | #8 (1 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 2.4 |
*Hapoel Tel Aviv shown at home, Hap. Ramat Gan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hapoel Tel Aviv — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Hap. Ramat Gan — last 5
DLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hapoel Tel Aviv (home) | Hap. Ramat Gan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 100% |
Ligat Al (Israel) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligat Al (Israel) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Hap. Ramat Gan or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv clean sheet | 35% |
| Hap. Ramat Gan clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hapoel Tel Aviv is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Hapoel Tel Aviv are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hap. Ramat Gan — FAQ
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hap. Ramat Gan?
Our statistical model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Hapoel Tel Aviv 43%, draw 28%, Hap. Ramat Gan 29%.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hap. Ramat Gan?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hap. Ramat Gan?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.06 for Hap. Ramat Gan — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hap. Ramat Gan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw is 72%.