Hardrock vs TelOne Prediction & Preview
Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER SOCCER LEAGUE (ZIMBABWE)
Hardrock vs TelOne
Model pick: Hardrock (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.66 – 0.21
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hardrock | TelOne |
|---|
| League position | #2 (54 pts) | #16 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 54% | 15% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
*Hardrock shown at home, TelOne shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hardrock — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
TelOne — last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hardrock (home) | TelOne (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-3-3 in 13 (2.2 / 0.9 goals per game) | 2-6-5 in 13 (0.8 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.9
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 27%
BTTS: 33%
Use these Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.66 vs 0.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Hardrock or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — TelOne or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Hardrock clean sheet | 81% |
| TelOne clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hardrock is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Hardrock are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Hardrock vs TelOne — FAQ
Who will win Hardrock vs TelOne?
Our statistical model makes Hardrock the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Hardrock 84%, draw 12%, TelOne 3%.
Will both teams score in Hardrock vs TelOne?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hardrock vs TelOne?
Expected goals are 2.66 for Hardrock and 0.21 for TelOne — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hardrock vs TelOne?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (20%). Double chance for Hardrock or draw is 98%.