Harksheide vs Dassendorf Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Harksheide vs Dassendorf
Model pick: Dassendorf (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.06 – 5.29
Total goals: 5.3
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Harksheide | Dassendorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.5 | 3.0 / 0.75 |
*Harksheide shown at home, Dassendorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Harksheide — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Dassendorf — last 5
LDWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Harksheide (home) | Dassendorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.06 vs 5.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-5 (18%) |
| Double chance — Harksheide or draw (1X) | 1% |
| Double chance — Dassendorf or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Harksheide clean sheet | 1% |
| Dassendorf clean sheet | 94% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dassendorf is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Despite playing away, Dassendorf edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.3, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Harksheide vs Dassendorf — FAQ
Who will win Harksheide vs Dassendorf?
Our statistical model makes Dassendorf the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Harksheide 0%, draw 1%, Dassendorf 98%.
Will both teams score in Harksheide vs Dassendorf?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Harksheide vs Dassendorf?
Expected goals are 0.06 for Harksheide and 5.29 for Dassendorf — about 5.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Harksheide vs Dassendorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-5 (18%). Double chance for Harksheide or draw is 1%.