Harksheide vs Wandsbeker Concordia Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Harksheide vs Wandsbeker Concordia
Model pick: Harksheide (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.7 – 0.45
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Harksheide | Wandsbeker Concordia |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.25 | 1.0 / 2.6 |
*Harksheide shown at home, Wandsbeker Concordia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Harksheide — last 5
LDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Wandsbeker Concordia — last 5
LLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Harksheide (home) | Wandsbeker Concordia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.7 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Harksheide or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Wandsbeker Concordia or draw (X2) | 15% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Harksheide clean sheet | 64% |
| Wandsbeker Concordia clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Harksheide is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Harksheide are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Harksheide vs Wandsbeker Concordia — FAQ
Who will win Harksheide vs Wandsbeker Concordia?
Our statistical model makes Harksheide the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Harksheide 80%, draw 14%, Wandsbeker Concordia 6%.
Will both teams score in Harksheide vs Wandsbeker Concordia?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Harksheide vs Wandsbeker Concordia?
Expected goals are 2.7 for Harksheide and 0.45 for Wandsbeker Concordia — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Harksheide vs Wandsbeker Concordia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (16%). Double chance for Harksheide or draw is 96%.