Harstad vs Floya Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Harstad vs Floya
Model pick: Harstad (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.51 – 1.32
Total goals: 3.8
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Harstad | Floya |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.8 / 1.4 | 3.8 / 1.8 |
*Harstad shown at home, Floya shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Harstad — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Floya — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Harstad (home) | Floya (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.51 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Harstad or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Floya or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Harstad clean sheet | 27% |
| Floya clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Harstad is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Harstad are backed at home, where they average 5.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.8, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Harstad vs Floya — FAQ
Who will win Harstad vs Floya?
Our statistical model makes Harstad the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Harstad 59%, draw 20%, Floya 21%.
Will both teams score in Harstad vs Floya?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Harstad vs Floya?
Expected goals are 2.51 for Harstad and 1.32 for Floya — about 3.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Harstad vs Floya?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Harstad or draw is 81%.