Harstad vs Skjervoy Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Harstad vs Skjervoy
Model pick: Skjervoy (86%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.77 – 4.01
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Harstad | Skjervoy |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 6.5 / 1.5 | 3.5 / 1.5 |
*Harstad shown at home, Skjervoy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Harstad — last 5
WW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Skjervoy — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Harstad (home) | Skjervoy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.77 vs 4.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-4 (9%) |
| Double chance — Harstad or draw (1X) | 10% |
| Double chance — Skjervoy or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Harstad clean sheet | 2% |
| Skjervoy clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Skjervoy is the model's most likely outcome at
86%. Despite playing away, Skjervoy edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Harstad vs Skjervoy — FAQ
Who will win Harstad vs Skjervoy?
Our statistical model makes Skjervoy the most likely result at 86%. Full probabilities: Harstad 5%, draw 9%, Skjervoy 86%.
Will both teams score in Harstad vs Skjervoy?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Harstad vs Skjervoy?
Expected goals are 0.77 for Harstad and 4.01 for Skjervoy — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Harstad vs Skjervoy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-4 (9%). Double chance for Harstad or draw is 10%.