Haugesund 2 vs Vindbjart Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Haugesund 2 vs Vindbjart
Model pick: Vindbjart (79%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 4.03
Total goals: 5.3
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Haugesund 2 | Vindbjart |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.75 / 2.25 | 4.0 / 1.2 |
*Haugesund 2 shown at home, Vindbjart shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Haugesund 2 — last 5
DLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Vindbjart — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Haugesund 2 (home) | Vindbjart (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 4.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-4 (7%) |
| Double chance — Haugesund 2 or draw (1X) | 16% |
| Double chance — Vindbjart or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Haugesund 2 clean sheet | 2% |
| Vindbjart clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vindbjart is the model's most likely outcome at
79%. Despite playing away, Vindbjart edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.3, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Haugesund 2 vs Vindbjart — FAQ
Who will win Haugesund 2 vs Vindbjart?
Our statistical model makes Vindbjart the most likely result at 79%. Full probabilities: Haugesund 2 9%, draw 12%, Vindbjart 79%.
Will both teams score in Haugesund 2 vs Vindbjart?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Haugesund 2 vs Vindbjart?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Haugesund 2 and 4.03 for Vindbjart — about 5.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Haugesund 2 vs Vindbjart?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-4 (7%). Double chance for Haugesund 2 or draw is 16%.