Haugesund vs Bryne Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Haugesund vs Bryne
Model pick: Haugesund (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.55 – 1.0
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Haugesund | Bryne |
|---|
| League position | #1 (31 pts) | #10 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 83% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.6 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Haugesund shown at home, Bryne shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Haugesund — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Bryne — last 5
LWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Haugesund (home) | Bryne (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-0 in 6 (3.0 / 1.2 goals per game) | 2-0-5 in 7 (0.9 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 63% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.09
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.55 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Haugesund or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Bryne or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Haugesund clean sheet | 37% |
| Bryne clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haugesund is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Haugesund are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Haugesund vs Bryne — FAQ
Who will win Haugesund vs Bryne?
Our statistical model makes Haugesund the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Haugesund 66%, draw 19%, Bryne 15%.
Will both teams score in Haugesund vs Bryne?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Haugesund vs Bryne?
Expected goals are 2.55 for Haugesund and 1.0 for Bryne — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Haugesund vs Bryne?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (9%). Double chance for Haugesund or draw is 87%.