Haugesund vs Egersund Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Haugesund vs Egersund
Model pick: Haugesund (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.38 – 2.32
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Haugesund | Egersund |
|---|
| League position | #3 (37 pts) | #7 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.2 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 75% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 2.2 | 2.0 / 1.4 |
*Haugesund shown at home, Egersund shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Haugesund — last 5
WLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Egersund — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 70% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Haugesund (home) | Egersund (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-1 in 8 (3.2 / 1.4 goals per game) | 2-1-5 in 8 (1.9 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 70% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.38 vs 2.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Haugesund or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Egersund or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Haugesund clean sheet | 10% |
| Egersund clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haugesund is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Haugesund are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Haugesund vs Egersund — FAQ
Who will win Haugesund vs Egersund?
Our statistical model makes Haugesund the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Haugesund 56%, draw 20%, Egersund 24%.
Will both teams score in Haugesund vs Egersund?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Haugesund vs Egersund?
Expected goals are 3.38 for Haugesund and 2.32 for Egersund — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Haugesund vs Egersund?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-2 (6%). Double chance for Haugesund or draw is 75%.