Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome
Model pick: Frome (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
24%
Havant & Waterlooville
Expected goals: 0.0 – 1.65
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Havant & Waterlooville | Frome |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 3.6 | 2.0 / 0.2 |
*Havant & Waterlooville shown at home, Frome shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Havant & Waterlooville — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 70% of home games go over 2.5.
Frome — last 5
DWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Havant & Waterlooville (home) | Frome (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.0 vs 1.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (32%) |
| Double chance — Havant & Waterlooville or draw (1X) | 19% |
| Double chance — Frome or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Havant & Waterlooville clean sheet | 19% |
| Frome clean sheet | 100% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Frome is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Frome edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome — FAQ
Who will win Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome?
Our statistical model makes Frome the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Havant & Waterlooville 24%, draw 24%, Frome 51%.
Will both teams score in Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome?
Expected goals are 0.0 for Havant & Waterlooville and 1.65 for Frome — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (32%). Double chance for Havant & Waterlooville or draw is 19%.