Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City
Model pick: Draw (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
29%
Havant & Waterlooville
Expected goals: 0.57 – 0.58
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 24%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Havant & Waterlooville | Gloucester City |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.2 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Havant & Waterlooville shown at home, Gloucester City shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Havant & Waterlooville — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 69% of home games go over 2.5.
Gloucester City — last 5
WLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Havant & Waterlooville (home) | Gloucester City (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 57% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.57 vs 0.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (32%) |
| Double chance — Havant & Waterlooville or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Gloucester City or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 57% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Havant & Waterlooville clean sheet | 56% |
| Gloucester City clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (76% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City — FAQ
Who will win Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Havant & Waterlooville 29%, draw 42%, Gloucester City 30%.
Will both teams score in Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City?
Expected goals are 0.57 for Havant & Waterlooville and 0.58 for Gloucester City — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (32%). Double chance for Havant & Waterlooville or draw is 71%.